Author: IntaCapital Swiss

UK Government Bonds and the Starmer Effect

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Historic Surge in Gilt Yields

Yesterday, gilts (UK Government Bonds) fell, sending the long-term yield on the 30-year gilt to 5.79%, up by 11 basis points, and to the highest level in 28 years. The 10-year gilt hit 5.14%, (highest level since 2008) up by 20 basis points on the day. The spread between 30-year gilts and their counterparts in US Treasuries widened to 78 basis points up from 60 basis points. This large increase in the country’s cost of borrowing is due to calls for the Prime Minister, Keir Starmer, to resign not only from his bank benchers (now over 100 MP’s), but from cabinet members as well — four of whom resigned yesterday, following Labour’s brutal defeat in local elections last Thursday. 

Market Fears of Looser Fiscal Policy

Such calls for Starmer’s resignation have put investors on high alert, as a potential change in leadership signals the possibility of increased spending by the labour government in an effort to win back votes. The possible shift to looser fiscal policies sees investors pricing in higher risk premiums. Also, financial markets are already suggesting that there will be three interest rate hikes between now and the end of the year. Experts suggest that a fiscal crisis may well be around the corner, and with yields surging, markets are looking at the math and not ideology — where current debt levels are high, global and energy risks are already elevated, leaving investors looking for fiscal discipline, clarity and continuity.

The Return of the Bond Vigilantes

Analysts suggest that in reality, no matter who succeeds Kier Starmer, there is no credible plan to restore the country’s finances, and as a result, UK Government bonds will remain under pressure. Experts suggest the gilts are under attack from what is known as “Bond Vigilantes” (a term coined in the 1980s by economist Ed Yardeni) who aggressively sell government bonds in protest of monetary or fiscal policies they deem inflationary or irresponsible. With the UK currently facing the highest long-term borrowing costs in the G7, a new left-leaning Prime Minister could drive debt even higher. In response, ‘bond vigilantes’ may sell off gilts, forcing borrowing costs up and potentially compelling the government to adopt more disciplined economic policies.

Leadership Contenders and Economic Outlook

The likely successors to Kier Starmer do not fill the bond markets with great hope, as one potential contender, ex-Deputy Prime Minister Angela Raynor, led a cabinet revolt against Chancellors’ Reeve’s plan to slash welfare spending. There is a potential challenge from the Mayor of Manchester, Andy Burnham, who has already criticised the economic approach of the Starmer government by claiming the country is in hock to the bond markets. Also, last year he promised to increase government spending by a further £40 Billion to pay for more council homes. The only candidate prepared to appease the bond markets is Health Secretary Wes Streeting, by committing to fiscal rules and helping bring down government borrowing. 

The Reality of Market Forces

Whoever takes over from Starmer, and it is not a given as he is currently hanging on by any means possible, would do well to heed the words of Margaret Thatcher (late 1980’s), who said, “You can’t buck the market”. This mantra she used to describe her belief that the government cannot and should not attempt to resist market forces, specifically addressed her view on the power of financial and bond markets to dictate financial reality. Experts suggest that bond yields may come down if Starmer keeps his job as this will give continuity, however prevailing winds seem to be against him.

The Iranian Crisis & Rising Prices: Does Oil or Gold Offer Better Protection?

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The current Middle East conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran, which has closed the Strait of Hormuz (where circa 20% of the world’s supply of crude oil and associated derivatives flow), has turned inflation predictions on its head. The Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the ECB, along with many other central banks, originally planned to cut interest rates in 2026. However, both the banks and financial markets are now predicting potential holds or even rate increases to combat rising inflation.

Oil

Experts advise that oil generally offers an immediate protection against rising inflation, especially during energy-driven price shocks like the one currently fueled by the United States/Iran/Israel conflict. Indeed, as a direct driver of inflation, oil and other energy related investments often spike during a crisis, providing strong returns and offering better, more direct protection than gold during times of rising inflation. However, analysts advise that investors need to take care, as during this current crisis the oil market has seen much volatility.

Gold

Common wisdom suggests that in times of crisis, investors flee to a safe haven such as gold, however, the current Iranian conflict has turned this assumption in its head. Indeed, since the start of the US invasion of Iran codenamed Operation Epic Fury on February 28th, 2026, Brent Crude has increased by 37%, whilst gold has retreated by 15%. Gold hit a historic all-time high of over $5,500 in January, before retreating below $4,400 by late March. Since that correction, it has regained ground and is currently trading between $4,710 and $4,730 per troy ounce.

On 28th January this year, gold hit an all-time high of $5,589 per troy ounce, one month before the start of the Iran conflict. This, according to many analysts, was due to rallying on the back of tariff uncertainty, central bank buying and exceptional demand for gold ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds). The fall in the price of gold as suggested by experts is primarily due to surging bond yields, a strong US Dollar and investors taking profits after the aforementioned massive rally in 2025. Experts in the gold arena suggest that many investors sold for liquidity purposes, resulting in a flight to cash rather than a flight to safe haven.

Analysts advise that the rise in bond yields have raised the “opportunity cost”* of holding non-interest bearing assets such as gold. Also, with inflation expectations roaring into view on the back of the current energy shock, government bond yields have spiked globally. The UK 10-year government bonds (Gilts) hit their highest level since 2008. A 15-year high was reached by German bunds, and the 10-year US Treasury recently enjoyed a number of highs and hit 4.38% on Friday before slipping back. 

*Opportunity cost – The next best alternative investors give up when deciding whether or not to move out of one asset class and into another. It represents missed benefits when choosing one option over another. 

Geopolitical Uncertainty and the Outlook for Peace

Just how long oil prices will remain elevated and gold prices depressed will largely depend on the current Middle East crisis ending as soon as possible. However, despite White House rhetoric, an agreement to end the war with Iran seems to be a long way off. With Israel increasing their attacks in Lebanon, and cargo ships still being attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, any peace plan put forward by the Americans may have little hope of receiving Iranian approval.

Is The Global Oil Market Just Weeks Away From Imploding?

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Experts within the oil arena suggest that the global oil market could reach the point of no return between the end of May and the end of June, if the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz continues into the summer and beyond. Experts are advising that the blockade will reduce the levels of stock of diesel, jet fuel, gasoline and crude oil to critical levels by the end of May, when prices will go through the roof. 

One renowned expert advised that global oil reserves are currently at their lowest levels for eight years driven by trade frictions and refining bottlenecks, even though there are still ample supplies of oil . Estimates suggest that in Europe, and excluding government emergency reserves, commercial jet inventories could, by June, fall below the IEA’s (International Energy Agency) critical 23-day threshold. 

Analysts advise that any buffers to the shortages could well be reduced to zero by the end of June, pushing the price even higher than those predicted at the end of May, reaching levels of circa $200p/bbl or higher. The effect on households all over the world could be devastating as the cost of food increases, petrol and diesel at the pumps could see prices never seen before, and airlines dramatically reduce flights whilst increasing ticket prices.

Indeed, between them, global airlines have cut circa two million seats in May (2% of global aviation capacity) due to the frightening increase in jet fuel. Analysts advise that the most exposed country is the United Kingdom, being the largest net importer of jet fuel in Europe. Refineries in the UK have been requested to maximise jet fuel production under government agreed contingency planning, though the Labour government refused requests by industry to reduce taxes. 

On-going fighting between Iran and the USA has increased today, with Iran bombing a critical oil port in Fujairah, UAE. The longer the war goes on, more critical problems for economies will surface, with inflation in the Eurozone and the United Kingdom expected to move upwards. Hopefully, an end to the confrontation can be found soon, otherwise global economies, industry and households will all begin to suffer. Experts advise that families and businesses who intend to fly in the coming months should book early to avoid potential disappointment.

UAE to Leave OPEC

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A historic departure and strategic vision

The UAE (United Arab Emirates) recently announced that after sixty years of membership the country has left OPEC (Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries) and OPEC+* on May 1st 2026, saying the decision to leave the two oil cartels will allow them greater flexibility to charter their own path under their long-term strategic and economic vision. Furthermore, the UAE had threatened to quit the cartels in the past, due to longstanding tensions between themselves and Saudi Arabia. 

*OPEC+ – Short for the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Nations, and is a coalition of 23 oil producing countries of which the full members are Algeria, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Republic of the Congo, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Venezuela. There are a further 10 non-OPEC Partner Countries that form the OPEC+ and make up the DoC (Declaration of Cooperation) and consist of Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Brunei, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Mexico, Oman, Russia, South Sudan and Sudan. The whole group’s modus operandi is to cooperate on influencing the global oil market and stabilise prices.

Reserving the right to increase output

The UAE is not the first member to exit; Indonesia departed in 2016, followed by Qatar in 2019, Ecuador in 2020, and Angola in 2024. While various experts and oil commentators repeatedly predicted the demise of OPEC, the organization has proven resilient, continuing its operations largely unaffected. However, the UAE is on a different level to those countries who previously departed, wanting to increase the output of oil. With the geological backing on its side, the country has the finances to turn their ambitions into reality. Some observers suggest that leaving OPEC is due to the current Iranian crisis and the on-going closure of the Strait of Hormuz, but there are many observers who disagree with this.

Decades of tension over pricing and quotas

Many experts suggest that whilst the UAE has been majorly taken aback by the attacks by the Iranian regime, and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the move to quit the cartel started nearly ten years ago. Experts say that the reasoning boils down to the price of crude oil, which the UAE and Saudi Arabia have been at loggerheads for over a decade, and over OPEC’s direction. Both Saudi and Russia have wanted to keep the price as close to $100 p/bbl, which meant at times curbing output, whilst the UAE, at the risk of lower prices, wanted to increase output. This argument was kept under wraps until July 2021, when at an OPEC+ meeting the divisions boiled over into the public domain.

The shift from Riyadh to Abu Dhabi’s autonomy

The clash between the two oil producers caused the meeting to be adjourned for two days, until Abu Dhabi eventually retreated from their stance under massive pressure from Riyadh. Experts advise that the UAE has never forgotten this humiliating experience and are perhaps using the current Iranian conflict as a front to leave the cartel. They are in reality leaving to produce more oil, which is against the express wishes and interests of Saudi Arabia. The authorities in Abu Dhabi have been quick to calm any nerves within the energy market, promising to act responsibly by bringing additional output in a measured and gradual manner. 

Weakening OPEC’s global market influence

Analysts point out that without the barrels from the UAE, OPEC’s global market share will fall below 30% for the first time as the UAE’s was OPEC’s third largest producer and second highest spare production capacity. Indeed, OPEC loses circa 15% of its total capacity, severely weakening its position and ability to adjust and set global prices. OPEC’s share of global oil production has been slowly declining due to the rise of US shale. Some analysts feel that now Abu Dhabi has left the cartel, other nations may follow, looking to capitalise on the current heightened price of oil. 

Standing alone: The path forward

In the end, experts believe that the UAE did not need OPEC, and their production was already in excess of OPEC quotas before the current conflict. Officials in Abu Dhabi have long felt the direction taken by OPEC was more to favour Saudi needs than to serve the needs of its members. The UAE has spent years in expanding its production capacity and is now ready to stand alone, dropping the shackles of OPEC, increasing total exports which may well see the dropping in prices in the medium term.

The ECB keeps Interest Rates on Hold

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Yesterday, and for the third straight meeting, the Governing Council of the ECB (European Central Bank) voted unanimously to keep their key benchmark deposit rate steady at 2.00%. Financial markets were expecting a rate hold, as the ECB kept their three key interest rates* at their lowest level for more than two years. However, sentiment within the governing council is changing as growth is weakening on the downside and price pressures are building on the upside.

*ECB Interest Rates – The ECB has three interest rates, one being the key deposit rate, which as mentioned above was held at 2.00% and is the interest rate banks receive when they deposit monies overnight with the ECB. The other two facilities are the Main Refinancing Operations (rate held at 2.15%) which is the rate the banks pay when they borrow monies from the ECB for one week, and the Marginal Lending Facility (rate held at 2.40%), which is the rate banks pay when they borrow monies overnight from the ECB.

Indeed, officials noted that policymakers within the ECB will probably vote to increase interest rates at their next meeting in June, unless the crisis in the Middle East abates and there are some positive developments on energy prices. Those close to the ECB’s decision, while asking for anonymity, noted that there was little chance of avoiding a rate hike in June, but stressed that the situation is fluid and can change quickly.

President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde, said, “the next six weeks will be the right time to assess the economy in order to make an informed decision on verified and revisited information”. The president went on to say, “we made an informed decision on the basis of yet insufficient information. We debated the decision that we have unanimously taken today, but we also debated at length, and in depth, a decision to possibly hike”.

Experts advise that officials from the ECB have not been convinced from data received the need to tighten monetary policy, with the increasing prices of energy such as oil and natural gas yet to trigger “second round effects”*. In a statement issued by ECB officials, they said, “the upside risk to inflation and the downside risks to growth have intensified. The Governing Council remains well positioned to navigate the current uncertainty”.

*Second Round Effects – In these scenarios second round effects are price and wage-settings stemming from the current shock that have the potential to raise Eurozone inflation beyond the near-term in a persistent manner.

Analysts advise that financial markets suggest that ECB officials will prioritise an upswing in prices (by 3% in April), which are suffering negative effects from the USA/Iran/Israel crisis. Traders have accordingly priced in 75 basis points rise in interest rates by the end of the year. President Lagarde noted that, “there is one element that is going to have a real impact, and that is the duration of the conflict”.

Bank of England Keeps Interest Rates on Hold

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Today, the BOE’s (Bank of England) MPC (monetary Policy Committee) voted 8 – 1 to hold the benchmark interest rate steady ay 3.75%, with the Chief Economist, Huw Pill, being the only dissenting member voting to increase interest rates by 25 basis points. Interestingly, other members of the MPC acknowledged that in future meetings they might in fact join Mr Pill in calling for a rate increase.

Officials noted that in the Q3 of this year, they now forecast that inflation will be circa 1.4% higher than their original forecast in the last report issued this February. Indeed, Governor Andrew Bailey said, “holding rates was a reasonable place to be given the softness in the UK economy”, but argued that rates may well have to rise because of the disruptions to energy supplies due to the current Middle East situation. 

Clare Lombardelli and Dave Ramsden, both Deputy Governors, plus external members Catherine Mann and Megan Greene, all signalled that in the future, rates may need to go up tightening financial conditions. The MPC noted that it stands ready to act, should further data shows negative impacts on inflation, such language indicating they will raise interest rates if need be.

Governor Bailey said, “attempting to bring inflation back to target too quickly after a shock like this may cause undesirable volatility in output. There is not much monetary policy can do to prevent these cost increases from affecting UK businesses and households. Thursday’s wild swings in the oil price were an example of how the BOE simply cannot stop the music and make decisions based on a certain level of expected cost pressures”. 

Latest official data shows that the CPI (Consumer Price Index) rose to a three month high of 3.30% in March on the back of accelerating fuel prices. The price of motor fuels month-on-month saw the largest increase since June 2022, jumping by a spectacular 8.70% as disruption to transportation and oil production drove prices higher for both diesel and petrol. Officials of the BOE suggested that if the Middle East conflict were to continue and worsen, inflation could rise as high as 6.20%.

Due to the uncertainty surrounding the Iran conflict, the BOE this time round has not published any forecasts for inflation and other key economic indicators. Instead, the BOE has produced three scenarios based on energy prices and “second round effects”. In the toughest case, scenario C, they suggest that inflation could peak to around 6.20% in early 2027, and stay above the BOE’s 2.00% inflation target for years, forcing interest rates higher. 

Federal Reserve Keeps Interest Rates on Hold

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Yesterday, Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chairman, officiated at his last FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting where benchmark interest rates were kept on hold for a third consecutive time at 3.50% – 3.750%. The increasing uncertainty with the Middle East crisis left the committee deeply divided voting by 8 – 4 to keep interest rates steady. This was the first time since October 1992 where four committee members dissented against the FOMC decision, with Governor Stephen Moran voting in favour of a 25 basis point cut. 

Three other Federal Reserve Presidents: Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan of Cleveland, Minneapolis and Dallas respectively, all agreed to hold rates but dissented because they “could not support inclusion of an easing bias in the statement at this time”. Experts suggest that the dissents caught financial markets by surprise, and despite the nomination by President Trump of dove leaning Kevin Warsh* as the new Fed Chair, the vote could indicate a shift away from rate cuts at future meetings. 

*Kevin Warsh – He has passed a major hurdle to become the next Chairman of the federal reserve, as yesterday, he was approved by the Senate Banking Committee. The nomination now advances to a full senate vote with the earliest date being the 11th May 2026.

Analysts advise that money markets are betting that there will be no further rate cuts in 2026. However, analysts now suggest a better than 25% chance of a rate hike by early next year. This shift comes as oil prices climb back above $100/bbl, driven by the ongoing Middle East conflict and the continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for 25% of the world’s oil. Experts advise the big fear for policymakers is that the current energy-driven price shock feeds into a broader, more consistent core inflation. 

On that note, US headline inflation for March 2026 jumped to 3.30%, the highest level since May 2024. Core inflation (excluding food and energy) also rose slightly to 2.60%, with policymakers still adopting a wait and see attitude towards inflation. However, on the employment front, the unemployment rate for now appears to have stabilised, but net hiring flattened out to just about zero over the past year. Experts and policymakers are suggesting this would make the labour market more vulnerable to shocks.

Finally, Chairman Powell’s tenure as the Chair of the Federal reserve ends on 15th May 2026, but under current rules he can remain on the board until January 2028. Historically, Fed Chairs typically resign from the Board of Governors entirely upon leaving the chair. However, Jerome Powell has opted to remain on the board, a decision that prevents President Trump from appointing a new governor who might align more closely with White House policies. Chairman Powell noted, “I plan to keep a low profile as a governor. There is only ever one chair of the Federal Reserve Board. When Kevin Warsh is confirmed and sworn in, he will be that chair”.

The Bank of Japan Keeps Interest Rates on Hold

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Today, and at the end of a two-day MPM (Monetary Policy Meeting), the BOJ’s (Bank of Japan) Policy Board held its benchmark interest rate steady at 0.75%. The decision to keep interest rates unchanged was reached by a majority decision by members of 6 – 3, which represents the biggest split under the present leadership of Governor Kazuo Ueda. Analysts advise that the split in the board’s decision suggests an indication that there could be a rate hike at the next MPM in June, with money markets offering a 68% chance of a rate increase.

Officials from the BOJ revised upwards their inflation estimates as supply-side risks were elevated due to the United States/Iran/Israel conflict in the Middle East. The three dissenting members voted to raise the benchmark interest rate to 1%, arguing the conflict had skewed price risks upwards. Officials also warned that economic growth may well deteriorate due to the negative impact of the current Middle East crisis which is increasing the price of crude oil. The BOJ also cut its forecast for growth from 1.00% to 0.50%, whilst raising its core inflation estimate (excludes food and energy prices) from 1.90% to 2.80%.

After the policy meeting, Governor Ueda said, “given the high level of uncertainty around the conflict in the Middle East, the likelihood of achieving our forecasts have declined. The bank wants to spend a little more time scrutinising how the Middle East conflict affects the economy and prices, and whether the risk to growth and inflation could change”. Governor Ueda went on to say, “the bank would make the appropriate decisions so that we do not fall behind the curve”, however, he did not give a timeline for the central bank to gauge whether the conditions were right to raise interest rates.  

Interestingly, one financial strategist suggested that the hawkish hold by the central bank was as much about currency defence as inflation control, signalling growing intolerance to further yen weakness as domestic and growth prove resilient. In 2026, the yen has weakened by circa 1.50% against the US Dollar and is currently trading at 159.12. Borrowing costs in Japan are at their highest level since September 1995, and as the war in the Middle East continues, interest rates can only rise further. Even if the conflict stopped tomorrow, it will still be many months before prices of crude oil and their offshoots will return to pre-conflict prices.

Comparing online business funding services: Interest rates and features

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Key insights for financial strategy in 2026

  • Dynamic pricing: In 2026, business loan interest rates comparison data shows a shift toward real-time risk pricing, where rates fluctuate based on your live digital accounting data.
  • Feature over rate: Leading online business funding services now offer covenant-light structures, prioritising repayment flexibility over the lowest possible headline rate.
  • Corporate versatility: Modern business funding services ltd models have expanded beyond simple term loans to include sophisticated corporate revolving credit facility options.

How do online business funding services compare in terms of interest rates?

Online business funding services typically offer interest rates ranging from 6% to 22% APR, depending on the security and speed of the facility. Small business funding online through traditional digital lenders usually carries higher rates (12%+) due to higher risk, while business revenue funding services offer variable rates linked to monthly sales. To secure better interest rates for business funds, companies should opt for asset-backed or secured facilities, which offer the lowest market rates.

The landscape of small business funding online

What are the primary features of online business funding? 

When evaluating small business funding online, founders must look beyond the APR. Key features in 2026 include instant disbursement and API-Integration. Unlike traditional banks, business funding services ltd providers use automated underwriting to provide funding decisions in hours. However, the trade-off for this speed is often a higher interest rate compared to a traditional, slower-moving bank loan.

Strategies: How to secure better interest rates for business funds

To achieve the most competitive rates, businesses should focus on credit enhancement. In the 2026 market, this involves:

  1. Providing real-time data: Lenders offer transparency discounts for companies that provide direct read-access to their ERP and banking APIs.
  2. Securing the loan: Utilising asset-backed financing or an SBLC significantly lowers the lender’s risk, dropping rates into the mid-single digits.
  3. Opting for a corporate revolving credit facility: Instead of a lump-sum loan, a corporate revolving credit facility allows you to pay interest only on the capital you are currently using, effectively lowering your total cost of capital.

Comparison: Business revenue funding services vs. term loans

For many firms, business revenue funding services (revenue-based financing) have replaced traditional debt. Here is how they compare to modern online term loans:

FeatureRevenue-based fundingOnline corporate term loan
Typical interest/cost1.1x – 1.3x factor rate7% – 15% APR
Repayment structure% of monthly salesFixed monthly payments
Collateral requiredNone (unsecured)Often required (asset-backed)
Speed to fund24 – 48 hours5 – 14 days

Understanding the corporate revolving credit facility

A corporate revolving credit facility is increasingly becoming the preferred feature for mid-to-large entities. In 2026, these facilities function like a high-limit business credit card but with the interest rates of a commercial loan. This provides a liquidity insurance policy, you have the funds available to bridge a gap or seize an opportunity, but you don’t incur interest costs until the moment you draw the funds down.

Frequently asked questions 

Which online business funding services provide the lowest rates?

Services that focus on business loan interest rates comparison generally show that direct lenders utilising private capital offer the lowest rates for secured loans. Aggregator sites may show lower headline rates, but these often include hidden origination fees that increase the effective APR.

How do I know if business revenue funding services are right for me?

Business revenue funding services are ideal for high-margin companies with fluctuating seasonal sales. Because your payments scale with your revenue, you avoid the risk of a fixed-payment cash crunch during slow months.

What is the advantage of using business funding services ltd over a major bank?

The primary advantage is execution certainty. While a major bank might offer a slightly lower rate, their approval process is prone to last-minute turn-downs. Business funding services ltd providers offer transparent, data-driven commitments that are much more reliable for urgent business needs.

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How can companies secure fast liquidity in the 2026 credit market?

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Key insights for high-velocity capital in 2026

  • Predictive underwriting: AI-driven models now enable predictive underwriting, allowing lenders to approve complex corporate facilities in hours by analysing real-time data instead of months of historical statements.
  • The rise of ABF: In the current tightening cycle, asset backed financing has evolved into a $2 trillion mainstream market, unlocking liquidity from non-traditional assets like digital infrastructure and intellectual property.
  • Revenue-based agility: For high-growth firms, understanding how revenue based financing works is critical to securing non-dilutive capital that scales automatically with monthly sales performance.

What are the best ways to get business funding quickly?

The best ways to secure business funding quickly in 2026 involve bypassing traditional banks in favor of private credit liquidity providers and embedded lending platforms. By utilising predictive underwriting, these modern lenders can offer quick approvals. Strategies such as asset backed financing (leveraging receivables or equipment) and supply chain finance allow companies to convert balance sheet value into cash in as little as 48 hours to 14 days.

Leveraging asset backed financing for immediate cash flow

How does asset backed financing accelerate liquidity? 

Asset backed financing (ABF) is the cornerstone of fast corporate funding in 2026. Unlike a general business loan that relies on a company’s overall credit rating, ABF focuses on the quality of specific collateral. Whether it is inventory, invoices, or high-value machinery, lenders “ring-fence” these assets to provide rapid capital. This shift toward asset-centric lending allows firms with complex balance sheets to maintain high private credit liquidity even when traditional credit markets are volatile.

The technology of speed: Predictive underwriting

Want to know how to get business funding fast? The secret to speed in today’s market is predictive underwriting. Modern business funding platforms use AI to ingest thousands of data points, from real-time bank feeds to supply chain logistics, to forecast a company’s future performance. This removes the need for manual audits and traditional committee approvals. Industry data shows this technology can cut time-to-capital by over 60–70% compared to traditional audits, making it the premier method for companies needing to move at the pace of global trade.

Innovative liquidity: Revenue-based and supply chain finance

How does revenue based financing work? 

Revenue-based financing (RBF) allows a company to receive an upfront sum in exchange for a percentage of future monthly revenues. There are no fixed interest rates or rigid repayment schedules; if sales slow down, the repayment amount drops proportionally. This makes RBF one of the best practices for embedding lending in business platforms, as it aligns the cost of capital directly with the business’s real-time success.

Benefits of supply chain finance and dynamic discounting

For corporations managing large-scale procurement, the benefits of supply chain finance and dynamic discounting are twofold:

  1. For the buyer: You can preserve cash by extending payment terms without stressing your suppliers.
  2. For the supplier: You gain the option of early payment in exchange for a small, “dynamic” discount.
  3. Result: This creates a self-funding ecosystem that keeps the entire supply chain liquid without external bank debt.

Frequently asked questions 

Why is private credit liquidity better than a bank line of credit?

Private credit liquidity is generally more flexible and “covenant-lite.” In 2026, private lenders are more willing to provide bespoke structures, such as NAV (Net Asset Value) lending or PIK (Payment-in-Kind) features, which traditional banks typically avoid due to regulatory constraints.

What are the best practices for embedding lending in business platforms?

The best practices for embedding lending in business platforms include utilising API-first integrations that allow for “invisible” credit checks. By embedding the funding request directly into a user’s workflow (like an ERP or accounting suite), companies can access capital exactly when the data shows a need for a liquidity bridge.

Is predictive underwriting safe for large-scale funding?

Yes. Predictive underwriting is actually more accurate than traditional methods because it uses live data rather than stale, quarterly reports. It allows for continuous portfolio assessment, identifying risks before they become defaults.

Ready to secure fast liquidity for your business?

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